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Global Matters Weekly – Lessons from Japan

The summer solstice, or ‘longest day of the year’, took place in the northern hemisphere just over two weeks ago, putting those of us that live here on a path of gradually shortening days towards winter. It’s not all bad news: July and August are typically the warmest months in the UK, but after that temperatures will also steadily decline. It remains to be seen whether, like other airborne viruses, COVID-19 is more infectious in winter, leading to a fresh spike in cases, but in any event we think the world is significantly better prepared for new waves and hence the impact should be smaller. Therefore, while acknowledging this risk to markets, it has not persuaded us to de-risk the portfolios further.

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Global Matters Weekly – TISATAAFL

Not that there aren’t enough acronyms flying around the investment world already, but today I will reference a lesser-known one – only to debunk it. TANSTAAFL: “there ain’t no such thing as a free lunch”. The etymology is uncertain, but the principle is intuitive; there aren’t many things in life that come for free without some form of cost, be it direct or indirect, explicit or implicit. However, there is one (and only one) in finance – diversification. Most famously highlighted by Harry Markowitz, Nobel Laureate and pioneer of investment theory, this has underpinned several decades of progress towards building more sophisticated, more resilient approaches to portfolio management.

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Global Matters Weekly – The Great Disconnect?

There are few certainties in markets and economies and with most countries globally facing what could be the worst economic collapse in the post-war era, it is surprising to see markets and most risk assets continue their remarkable rebound. The shape of the recovery in risky assets certainly looks V-shaped today, as most markets have posted gains of around 30% since bottoming near the end of March. Is this a true reflection of what is going on in the underlying economy or is there a big disconnect?

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Viewpoint – June 2020

The world economy has entered its sharpest and deepest recession since the Great Depression almost 100 years ago, yet equities are in the midst of a raging bull market. By the end of May, global equities, as measured by the MSCI World index, had returned 35% from the market bottom on 23rd March, an exact mirror of the 35% decline between the bull market peak on 19th February and the March 23rd low. The pace of both the decline and subsequent recovery, including a further gain of almost 5% in developed world equity markets in May, is without precedent.

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Global Matters Weekly – Looking Forward

For those of you that don’t know, this Friday is the mid-point of summer and as I have a Swedish partner this means there will be a celebration. Midsummer, or Midsommar in Swedish, is an annual celebration in Sweden which consists of a never-ending lunch party involving flowers in your hair, dancing around a pole and singing songs while drinking unsweetened, flavoured schnapps.

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Global Matters Weekly – Steering Clear of Losses

While markets continue their remarkable rebound, the most important event for many people this month will be the return of the Premier League, something that cannot come soon enough for loyal fans (particularly Liverpool supporters). The resumption of top flight football provides a welcome distraction during these trying times as the German Bundesliga has already shown, even if the atmosphere is somewhat diminished by empty stadiums. The great thing about professional sport is that so much is captured by data, the quality and depth of which is extremely rich.

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Global Matters Weekly – The SpaceX Factor

On Saturday night at 22:11 hours I was fortunate enough to see the International Space Station (ISS) blazing across the darkening London skyline at 17,000mph. For budding astronomers the Star Walk app points out where and when to look, and with it orbiting over 15 times per day you’ve plenty of opportunity to view it (the stunningly clear UK skies obviously help, as does the night sky to spot it reflecting the sun from above the horizon)

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Insight – Harmony Cautious Income’s time to shine?

The coronavirus crisis is an era defining event; life before coronavirus and life afterwards. Above all it is a humanitarian crisis on an epic scale, the speed of its destruction fully illustrated by its spread. It has delivered an economic shock and market declines with a speed and severity unprecedented in modern times. However, the free fall in markets was stopped when the Federal Reserve and other big central banks stepped in with massive support packages and as a result markets rallied sharply from the late March lows.

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Viewpoint – May 2020

The recovery in markets which started in late March, following the massive interventions of the Federal Reserve in the US, and other major central banks, continued through April. This huge monetary stimulus, a combination of interest rate cuts (the only central banks not to cut have been those with rates
already at or below zero) together with asset purchases on a scale never before seen, unlimited in the case of the Fed, ECB and Bank of Japan, averted a deep and sudden shock to economic activity from triggering a systemic financial and liquidity crisis. Liquidity, funding and credit stresses eased rapidly and have largely normalised in the past month.

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BNP FAANGs Note May 2020

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In News
Posted

Commission / Acceptance

  • OMI/Quilter – 3%
  • FPI – 3%
  • Utmost – 2%
  • Ardan – 4.5%
  • Providence – 4.5%
  • Hansard – 4.5%

 

Discounts Available

Business submitted via

OMI/Quilter 2% discount on certificate (unit) price of $1000.00,
i.e. cost $980.00 per certificate.
FPI 2% discount on certificate (unit) price of $1000.00,
i.e. cost $980.00 per certificate.
Utmost 3% discount on certificate (unit) price of $1000.00,
i.e. cost $970.00 per certificate.

 

ISIN: XS2121689983

Please confirm to admin@npdistribution.net when trades have been placed

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