Momentum Chart of the Week – 1 June 2026
Global markets were primarily driven by geopolitics rather than macroeconomic data, with energy security becoming the key determinant of inflation and growth expectations. Download PDF
Global markets were primarily driven by geopolitics rather than macroeconomic data, with energy security becoming the key determinant of inflation and growth expectations. Download PDF
After a challenging first quarter, markets roared back to life in April as the punctuated ceasefire and US-Iranian dialogue saw animal spirits take hold and risk markets rally strongly. The geopolitical narrative gave way once again to the powerful tech and AI theme that has powered global markets for much
April 2026 felt surprisingly constructive for global financial markets. Equities rallied as investors rotated back into AI-linked growth stocks, with semiconductor-heavy Asian markets especially strong. At the same time, Middle East tensions kept energy prices elevated, sustaining worries about inflation and complicating the outlook for central banks. Bonds were mixed:
The defining global macro theme was the inflationary energy shock caused by geopolitical tensions, which delayed expected monetary easing across many major economies. Download PDF
Surging oil prices, shipping disruption, and renewed inflation fears set the tone for equities, bonds, currencies, and global rate expectations. Download PDF
Middle East conflict triggers global oil shock, accelerating inflation pressures and weakening growth outlook across all major economies. Download PDF
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By anyone’s standards the first three months of 2026 have been an extraordinary roller coaster of geopolitical posturing and market volatility. For all the headlines, one might be surprised that global equities were ‘only’ down 3.5% for the period, and US treasuries were flat. Were you not looking under the