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Viewpoint – May 2024

In a reversal of the April sell-off, equity and bond markets generally performed well in May. The MSCI World index of developed markets gained 4.5% while US Treasuries returned 1.5% and Global Government bonds 1.0%. The US equity market led the way, +4.9%, with tech dominant. The Nasdaq index returned

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Viewpoint – April 2024

The key factors driving markets in the first quarter of the year continued through April. Economic growth has remained resilient, labour markets strong and the earlier falls in inflation have slowed. The long period of high inflation, aggressive monetary tightening and geopolitical uncertainty have not damaged economies as much as

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Viewpoint – March 2024

Three critical connected factors drove markets in Q1: economic activity across the developed world surprised on the upside; inflation proved to be more persistent; and labour markets remained tight. The probability of recession has fallen, that of a soft landing increased. As a result, market expectations for cuts in policy

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Viewpoint – February 2024

Equity markets continued to surprise on the upside with a gain in February of 4.2% in developed markets (MSCI World index) and 4.8% in emerging markets (MSCI Emerging Markets index). MSCI World has returned 11% so far this year, 23% since the current surge in markets started in late October

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Viewpoint – January 2024

Markets began to consolidate in January and returns ended the month in a more mixed fashion, compared to the ‘(almost) everything rally’ seen in Q4 2023. Global developed and US equities both continued their momentum to reach all-time highs, returning 1.2% and 1.7% respectively. Equity markets in Asia continued to

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Viewpoint – November 2023

Following a bruising 3 months, equity and bond markets came back with a bang in November, in most cases recovering all the ground lost since July, in an almost unbroken run of gains through the month. The extraordinary shift in risk appetite saw global developed world equities return 9.4% in

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Viewpoint – August 2023

Equity markets struggled for direction in August, falling sharply initially before a partial recovery reduced the losses in the MSCI World index to -2.4%. Bond markets continued the pattern since the mini banking crisis in March with another negative month, the JPM